Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.070569 0.078165 0.086502 0.096377 0.107815 0.120721 0.136488
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.059257 0.069559 0.081798 0.097603 0.117761 0.143017 0.177719
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.051001 0.062536 0.077096 0.097236 0.125055 0.163226 0.221642
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045634 0.057972 0.074345 0.098355 0.133936 0.187004 0.277120
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041583 0.054400 0.072137 0.099491 0.142641 0.212142 0.342670
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.038302 0.051365 0.070105 0.100307 0.150699 0.237879 0.418487
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.035386 0.048455 0.067783 0.100143 0.156893 0.261712 0.500242
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032685 0.045543 0.065054 0.098803 0.160624 0.281737 0.582746
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.031085 0.044109 0.064412 0.100780 0.170643 0.316869 0.719927
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.029000 0.041715 0.061946 0.099169 0.173381 0.337179 0.829635
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027637 0.040337 0.060993 0.100118 0.181401 0.371957 1.007037
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026149 0.038628 0.059297 0.099422 0.185775 0.399256 1.181563
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.025095 0.037575 0.058673 0.100794 0.195229 0.443912 1.469967
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024105 0.036552 0.058006 0.101999 0.204638 0.492582 1.839591
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022977 0.035208 0.056634 0.101568 0.210043 0.531768 2.223130
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022160 0.034341 0.056056 0.102737 0.219793 0.589791 2.830903
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021412 0.033541 0.055527 0.103933 0.229942 0.654760 3.654265
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020684 0.032723 0.054889 0.104795 0.239422 0.722926 4.734908
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019899 0.031749 0.053859 0.104620 0.245925 0.783321 6.000718
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019043 0.030593 0.052379 0.103199 0.248414 0.828262 7.322560
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018603 0.030180 0.052357 0.105295 0.262443 0.937591 10.484687
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017827 0.029091 0.050871 0.103587 0.263786 0.984533 12.947780
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017354 0.028548 0.050476 0.104593 0.274605 1.092568 18.612164